Ford Transit Cargo Pricing Analysis: Phoenix, AZ Market Report

Pricing Analysis by Model Year

Key Insights

• Steady Depreciation: The 2019 Ford Transit Cargo shows the steepest depreciation at −40.3% vs MSRP, indicating declining value as it ages, consistent with typical commercial vehicle trends.
• Best Value Year: The 2021 model is currently priced −21.6% below its MSRP, suggesting it represents a strong value proposition for shoppers.
• Minimal New-Car Premium: The 2025 model is priced −13.2% below MSRP, indicating competitive pricing strategies for newer vehicles in this segment.

Model Year Pricing

Pricing in Nearby Cities

Market Area: Greater Phoenix Region

Key Insights

• Highest Prices in Lake Havasu City: The city has the highest average price of $31,960, suggesting a premium market possibly due to less competition or higher demand for vans.
• Lowest Prices in Kingman: Kingman features the lowest average price at $21,500, likely indicating stronger competition among sellers or lower demand.
• Consistent Pricing Across Markets: Cities like Surprise ($27,888) and Apache Junction ($27,975) show similar pricing, pointing to stable market conditions.

City-Level Pricing

Pricing by Trim Packages

Key Insights

• 250 Low Roof RWD is the Most Common Trim: This trim has 61 listings, reflecting it as a preferred option for buyers in the market.
• Price Variation: There is a noticeable price spread, with the 250 Low Roof AWD priced at $53,300, showcasing a premium for AWD features compared to the base RWD trims.
• RWD Dominance: Most trims are RWD, which aligns with the typical use case for commercial vans focused on utility and cost-efficiency.

Trim-Level Details

These recommendations are based on CarGurus' proprietary market data from June 18, 2026, CarGurus experts' opinions, and generative AI.